[TradeStation] Cybernetics Analysis for Stock and Futures by John F. Ehlers [2004] (with open source code)

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Editorial Reviews
Book Description
Cutting-edge insight from the leader in trading technology
In Cybernetic Analysis for Stocks and Futures, noted technical analyst John Ehlers continues to enlighten readers on the art of predicting the market based on tested systems. With application of his engineering expertise, Ehlers explains the latest, most advanced techniques that help traders predict stock and futures markets with surgical precision. Unique new indicators and automatic trading systems are described in text as well as Easy Language and EFS code. The approaches are universal and robust enough to be applied to a full range of market conditions.
John F. Ehlers (Santa Barbara, CA) is President of MESA Software (Home) and has also written Rocket Science for Traders (0-471-40567-1) as well as numerous articles for Futures and Technical Analysis of Stocks & Commodities magazines.

Download Description
Cutting-edge insight from the leader in trading technology
In Cybernetic Analysis for Stocks and Futures, noted technical analyst John Ehlers continues to enlighten readers on the art of predicting the market based on tested systems. With application of his engineering expertise, Ehlers explains the latest, most advanced techniques that help traders predict stock and futures markets with surgical precision. Unique new indicators and automatic trading systems are described in text as well as Easy Language and EFS code. The approaches are universal and robust enough to be applied to a full range of market conditions.
John F. Ehlers (Santa Barbara, CA) is President of MESA Software (Home) and has also written Rocket Science for Traders (0-471-40567-1) as well as numerous articles for Futures and Technical Analysis of Stocks & Commodities magazines.

From the Inside Flap
"While much of what is covered in this book breaks new ground, it is not simply innovation for innovation’s sake. Rather, it is intended to challenge conventional wisdom and illuminate the shortcomings of many prevailing approaches to systems development."
–From Chapter 1 John Ehlers’s contributions to the art and science of trading have been nothing short of extraordinary. From his pioneering work applying maximum entropy spectral analysis (MESA) software to trading markets, to his definitive tour de force Rocket Science for Traders, Ehlers’s innovative and market-proven approach to cycle analysis and market forecasting has earned him a reputation that is unmatched among technicians and technical traders worldwide.

In Cybernetic Analysis for Stocks and Futures, Ehlers takes the next step, developing and demonstrating profoundly effective new trading tools through the application of modern digital signal processing techniques. Obtaining accurate cycle measurements within five samples with virtually zero lag, these tools have proven in real-time use to consistently provide traders with razor-sharp buy and sell signals in virtually any market–meeting or exceeding the performance of commercial systems which cost hundreds or even thousands of dollars.

To increase the book’s functionality and ease of use, each new technique, indicator, and automatic trading system is defined in both EasyLanguage code (for use in TradeStation™) and eSignal Formula Script (EFS) code. DLLs to work with NeuroShell Trader are also available. Modernizing popular trading procedures to take advantage of the incredible computing speed and power available to today’s trader, Ehlers introduces:

• The Fisher Transform–ensure that the density function of any indicator is Gaussian, creating sharper trading signals
• The Relative Vigor Index–a responsive oscillator in which movement is normalized to the trading range of each bar
• Improved Hilbert Transform–a more responsive method to accurately measure market cycles
• The Sinewave Indicator–a non-causal filter that gives entry and exit signals 1/16 of a cycle period in advance of the turning point
• The Laguerre Transform–a new tool to address the smoothing versus lag problem more effectively and create better smoothing filters
• Super Smoothing Filters–provide more smoothing with less lag
• Simple Moving Average Computations–two new ways to compute the simple moving average with unprecedented ease

Advances made in computer technology in the past two decades have clearly outpaced advances in trading software and practice. Cybernetic Analysis for Stocks and Futures seeks to restore the balance between computational power and user proficiency. Combining new indicators with tested systems for forecasting stock and futures markets with surgical precision, it will drive your systems to new levels of predictive accuracy, trading effectiveness, and overall profitability.

From the Back Cover
Praise for Cybernetic Analysis for Stocks and Futures
"If John Ehlers writes it, I read it. He’s that brilliant."
––Larry Williams
trader and author of Commodity Timing
"Cybernetic Analysis is a treasure of new and innovative ideas. John Ehlers has put aside the traditional mathematics of cycles and written a totally readable, thought-provoking, and user-friendly book on new indicators and trading methods. I particularly liked his work on the Fisher Transform, probability distributions, and true lag, which are a great contribution. This is a must for all analysts."
––Perry Kaufman
author of Trading Systems and Methods and A Short Course in Technical Trading
"John Ehlers ranks with Art Merrill as the best quantitative technical analyst of the twentieth and, probably, the twenty-first century. The success of his insight–employing digital signal analysis–is fully demonstrated in this volume, a worthy addition to his earlier, Rocket Science for Traders. For substantive, fully disclosed techniques you can use every day, this material is the best there is."
––John Sweeney
former editor of Technical Analysis of Stocks & Commodities magazine
Breakthrough Trading Tools–and Updated Applications–for Dramatically Increased Forecasting Accuracy in Every Market
Over the past two decades, John Ehlers has built a worldwide following with his unprecedented ability to combine the scientific knowledge of an engineer with the instincts of a top trader. In Cybernetic Analysis for Stocks and Futures, Ehlers–author of the groundbreaking Rocket Science for Traders–introduces serious traders to all-new methods for applying digital signal processing techniques to market forecasting.
Let Ehlers’s latest book show you how to:

• Obtain accurate cycle measurement within five samples
• Make indicators adaptive to market conditions using the measured cycle period
• Sharpen market turning points by manipulating the Probability Distribution Function using the Fisher Transform
• Discern the onset of trend modes and cycle modes
• Generate dependable buy and sell signals in any market

Cybernetic Analysis for Stocks and Futures combines all-new indicators with innovative uses of proven indicators to give you that rare edge that makes trading more pleasurable and profitable, in virtually every market and environment.

About the Author
John F. Ehlers received his BSEE and MSEE from the University of Missouri and did his doctoral work at the George Washington University, majoring in fields and waves and minoring in information theory. A private trader since 1976, he is currently President of MESA Software
author of Rocket Science for Traders (Wiley) as well as numerous articles for Futures and Technical Analysis of Stocks & Commodities magazines. He has now expanded the scope of his contributions to technical analysis through the application of scientific digital signal processing techniques.

42 of 45 people found the following review helpful:
An Outstanding Book On The Market!!, May 31, 2004
By Jim Geiger (Rochester Hills, MI USA) - See all my reviews
John Ehlers has again written a book that I believe is detined to become an "investment classic". I have three things I look for in investment books and newsletters:
1) Original Research
2) Explained Methodology
3) Actionable Strategy
Many books deemed "classics" fail to meet one or more of these criteria. Very few meet all three. John Ehlers is rare in achieving all three with his works.
1) Original Research - Original research is key to being successful in the market. A technique that everyone knows is unlikely to work very well for trading or investing. Ehlers is a pioneer in applying advanced cycle measurement theory (MESA - Maximum Entropy Spectral Theory) to the stock market. In Cybernetics he extends and builds on his cycle work by also applying very advanced and sophisticated Digital Signal Processing (DSP) techniques to trading the market. More information on Ehlers MESA work can be found at Home. To my knowledge there is no one else using and reporting on the application of DSP to the market.
2) Explained Methodology - In my opinion this is where Ehlers really shines. While these DSP techniques are extremely sophisticated and mathematically intense, Ehlers cuts to the chase in a very concise fashion, explaining the core principles, presenting the math, but leaving the derivations and complication to the textbooks and the engineers. Ehlers makes the techniques acceessible to the trader/investor without trying to turn the reader into an Electrical Engineer.
3) Actionable Strategy - all the tools presented in the book are fully disclosed and accompanied by complete TradeStation Easy Language Code and eSignal Formula Script (EFS). In addition the code can be purchased from Home for a modest cost, to save yourself the typing and debugging time (your time is worth something). I use TradeStation. With the fully disclosed code, all of the indicators can be displayed, modified (if desired), combined with one another or other indicators, and your own systems created. Those systems can then be back-tested in TradeStation to see how they performed. They can also be optimized and otherwise worked with to create systems that work for you.
Ehlers has created a "cookbook" of indicators that use some of the most advanced concepts ever applied to the market.
Ehlers states: "... (the) historical performance of these systems is on a par with or exceeds, the performance of systems that would cost you thousands of dollars to purchase". Analysis with TradeStation confirms this.


Introduction. CHAPTER 1: The Fisher Transform.
CHAPTER 2: Trends and Cycles.
CHAPTER 3: Trading the Trend.
CHAPTER 4: Trading the Cycle.
CHAPTER 5: The CG Oscillator.
CHAPTER 6: Relative Vigor Index.
CHAPTER 7: Oscillator Comparison.
CHAPTER 8: Stochasticization and Fisherization of Indicators.
CHAPTER 9: Measuring Cycles.
CHAPTER 10: Adaptive Cycle Indicators.
CHAPTER 11: The Sinewave Indicator.
CHAPTER 12: Adapting to the Trend.
CHAPTER 13: Super Smoothers.
CHAPTER 14: Time Warp—Without Space Travel.
CHAPTER 15: Evaluating Trading Systems.
CHAPTER 16: Leading Indicators.
CHAPTER 17: Simplifying Simple Moving Average Computations.
Conclusion.
For More Information.
Notes.
Index.

Extra Information

Wiley::Cybernetic Analysis for Stocks and Futures: Cutting-Edge DSP Technology to Improve Your Trading

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