About ARM3
What is ARM3?
We have seen many technological advances since ARM2 was created in 1996-98. Computers dramatically increased in both speed and memory. With the introduction of Trade Plans in OmniTrader 2004, we were able to create strategies from building blocks. We rewrote our A.I.engine, creating components which are collectively called "ARM3." This new Signal technology dramatically outperforms all prior versions of ARM2.
Two Powerful New Technologies Make it Happen..
NN Score
The new NN Score component uses a Neural Network to score signals from any system or vote combination, essentially replacing the Advisor Rating. The PRIMARY input to the NN Score component is a Signal Line within an OmniTrader Strategy - that is, a line populated with trading signals. The SECONDARY inputs, which are used for training, can be any trading system(s) and any indicator or difference between indicator or price values, such as Close(Today) -Close(Yesterday).
The component takes the inputs at points the given Signals occur, and creates a Neural Network to optimize a given target, such as "Profit 5 bars in the future." A Score is generated based on "fitness" of the inputs to the given target.Within the component, the Score can be set to a threshold, so that only the best signals are sent on to the next step in the Strategy (typically Orders, as shown above).
Click here for more information on NN Score.
GA Signals
GA Signals is similar to NN Score, in that it uses internal inputs defined from technical measurements and trading systems. However, GA Signals does not score an existing signal line - it CREATES signals from the inputs. GA Signals is useful in situations where you are not sure which system to use to generate a signal, but have an idea that several systems and measurements, when combined, could create a good entry.
That is, by combining 3 Systems and 3 Indicators (for example), some combination thereof would generate a signal - you just don't know what that combination is. GA Signals iterates on the problem space using a Genetic Algorithm process,until it has converged on numerous "rules" which are then added to a Knowledge Base, such as "Long Signal when MAC-M fires a signal and Volatility is between 2.5 and 3.5 and Close is more than 5% above the 21 period Moving Average."
Click here for more information on GA Signal.
Advantages of the new technology:
1. Much higher accuracy and profitability. We are seeing Networks and Knowledge Bases with over 80%accuracy and high profit-per-trade numbers. We have also generated several mechanical strategies which use mechanical exits, creating 100% mechanical systems.
2.
Improve the Scores and Performance of any existing system. If you have a system you really like in OmniTrader, the NN Score component is likely to make it better. By using the "canned" settings in the component, you can turn it loose in a strategy on virtually any system and get higher Hit Rastes and APRs from the same system.
3.
Users can Train or Re-Train Networks and Knowledge Bases. If you have a list of stocks or futures you would like to "tune" ARM3 to, just activate the ToDo List and specify "ReTrain" in a profile that has ARM3Strategies. The Knowledge Bases or Networks will be retrained on YOUR data.
4.
Members can experiment with their own theories. It takes minutes to define the measurements and inputs for a Neural Network or Genetic Algorithm Knowledge Base inside the NN Score or GA Signals components. If you have an idea about a combination of systems and measurements (indicators) that you believe would predict the market well together, set up an experiment, build a Knowledge Base and test it out. You have the power.
NN Score
The PRIMARY input to the NN Score component is a signal line within an OmniTrader Strategy -that is, a line populated with trading signals. The SECONDARY inputs, which are used for training,can be any trading system(s) and any indicator or difference between indicator or price values, such as Close (Today) -Close (Yesterday).
The component takes the inputs at points the given signals occur, and creates a Neural Network to optimize a given target, such as "Profit 5 bars in the future." A Score is generated based on "fitness" of the inputs to the given target. Within the component, the Score can be set to a threshold, so that only the best signals are sent on to the next step in the Strategy.
Here are some statistics on the Volatility Breakout System, before using the Neural Network enhancement, and after. You will see that the overall hit rate for the profile went fro 69% to 82%, and many unprofitable signals have been eliminated.
Virtually any system in OmniTrader can be improved the same way. We are using NN Score to boost the performance ofARM3. Clearly, we are very excited about this new technology!
Performance Reports (S&P 100)
BEFORE using the Neural Network
AFTER using the Neural Network
Before using the Neural Network 
AFTER using the Neural Network 
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