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: Gold could be 2008's Best Investment ?


Fx_Gold
2007-Dec-31, 07:58 PM
Not absolutely sure, as usual....http://www.friendlytraders.com/forum/../forum%28ysw%29/images/smilies/wink.gif

BUT....GOLD has just traded over $900 an ounce. And you need to hedge your bets NOW!

JANUARY 1980
Gold prices set an all-time high of $850/ounce as the dollar fell, oil prices soared, and global peace was strained to exhaustion because of political and religious differences worldwide.

JANUARY 11, 2008
Gold prices crush the 1980 high and hit $900.10 an ounce for the exact same reasons.

Except this time there's a huge difference: All of the underlying fundamentals that skyrocketed gold in 1980 are magnified by at least a thousand this time...

This time the dollar is in an irreversible death-spiral, crude oil prices have topped +$100/barrel, and the stability of societies around the world are becoming more and more fragile by the day as political and religious factions furiously battle.

It's as simple as this: There are absolutely no fundamentals out there right now that point to lower gold prices.

So, buy physical gold? Yes, absolutely!
But you're also going to want a little more risk in your portfolio. More risk, more reward. And the only place to get what you're looking for (mind-blowing investment gains) is in the speculative stock market.
Put it like this: Are you looking for 10:1...20:1...or even 50:1 returns? Of course you are.

The so-called and mostly self-proclaimed "experts" on the boob-tube will tell you that the modern markets are far too efficient to consistently generate those kinds of profits.

Now that may be true for the DOW and NASDAQ companies that the Wall Street guys are trying to ring out. But when it comes to the lightly-covered junior mining sector, it's a completely different story.
You see, it's not uncommon for junior mining companies to experience huge gains (tenfold or more) very quickly as news of a discovery leaks out.

On top of that, the exploding bull market in gold and precious metals not only focuses more attention on the sector, but also causes even more money to be spent on exploration. And the payback on a new find increases dramatically.

It works like this:

Say, for example, Company ABC finds a one million-ounce deposit of gold. And an engineering study suggests this deposit could be mined over ten years at a cost of $250 an ounce, including capital. And let's assume gold sells for only $350 an ounce.

That deposit is worth roughly $100 million.
But if gold shot to $400 an ounce (a 15% increase), the value of the same gold deposit launches to $150 million (a 50% gain). That's over 300% leverage to the gold price (50/15).

Right now, with today's gold price of near $900 an ounce, that deposit is worth $650 million! At $1,000 an ounce it's worth $750 million and at $1,500 an ounce it's worth $1.25 billion.
And if you think gold at $1,500 an ounce is out of the question, think again!

The 1980 record for gold prices of $850 is only the nominal high. When you factor in inflation, you find that gold's value was actually as high as $2,200 an ounce. And I think it's going even higher than that this time for the reasons I've previously mentioned.

For Company ABC and it's shareholders this means heart-pounding investment returns.

I'm talking about gains so big that most people could never even afford to pay the taxes on them right now.
The problem is this: The gold and metals equity markets have grown extremely large over the past few years and have become difficult for untrained investors to successfully navigate and profit.
And to enjoy the gains that have already made countless fortunes for early investors you have to know what to buy and when to buy it.

Just an example of market analysis.....

YouSeeWealth
2007-Dec-31, 09:59 PM
Yes, gold is going to be a very good investment, if not, the best.
Another client is oil. That's why all countries which sell oil are very rich. Every drop of oil is like a piece of gold coin. :D

But, as a technical trader, it doesn't matter whether the price goes because, well, we can make money in either way. :p

Forexkid
2008-Jan-01, 03:14 PM
High oil prices and a dodgy economic outlook point to gold as the traditional safe haven for savings. And if you find the physical asset a bit heavy and a security risk then blue-chip gold shares are the logical alternative.

The link between the oil price and gold is well established. Gold was at its previous high of $800 an ounce in 1980 when oil was past $100 a barrel in today's money. Thus in real terms gold prices should be twice as high as they are today when compared with oil prices.

So if you accept that high oil prices are here to stay - and an increasing number of analysts now fall into this camp - then much higher gold prices are also on the way.

Gaining exposure to gold is as easy as taking your wife to a jewellery shop, particularly in the UAE where such items are sold at a small margin over the gold price.

On the other hand, buying gold in quantity is a different matter. It is very heavy and an obvious security risk, although it does not deteriorate in storage - have a look at the treasures of the tomb of Tutankhamen in Cairo as proof of the longevity of this asset.

Forexkid
2008-Jan-01, 03:31 PM
Another option to invest gold is to purchase stock relating to gold industry.

Newmont Mining is the biggest gold miner in the world and quoted on the NYSE, but there are a host of others worth considering. Newmont has the advantage of not hedging its prices, so that the full gain, or loss, of the changing gold price is reflected in the share price.

Some potential investors are put off by the fact that gold has gained 60% in value in the past two years. The argument is that gold may have had its day - and indeed unless you bought and acted upon Dr. Faber's advice, you have missed some of the upside.

But if the bulls are right then you could still double your money. Gold is a great hedge against inflation which is surely what high oil prices, a falling dollar and budget deficits imply. The supply of gold is fixed, while dollars can be printed relatively quickly.

There is also the Wall Street factor to consider. Where will share prices go if inflation is going to hit profits? We have already seen lower borrowing begin to hit US consumer spending habits. Highly valued US stocks could crash, and then gold is a safe haven.

HighEndurance
2008-Mar-15, 08:53 AM
No doubt it seems like it is off to a great start since touching $1000 an ounce!

marketmakerZ
2008-Mar-15, 09:05 AM
Hi,

I tried to give you some ideas & insight on that topic but as no one likes it I stopped...

But as I like our place here are my last words for that:

Long Term - Bullish
Short Term - Cautious
Mid Term - Bearish

Why??? Just look on the past, check the comex reports & the amounts/numbers of the big players and last but not least of the direction they WANT (don't take the demand as an argument...it's just important for Long Term :eek:

Now it's easy to make some bucks but stay alert...

good luck

mmZ

DarkElite
2008-Mar-15, 12:41 PM
No doubt it seems like it is off to a great start since touching $1000 an ounce!
It is over rising. A big correction is going to happen. Probably not now but not far away.

DarkElite
2008-Mar-15, 12:43 PM
Long Term - Bullish
Short Term - Cautious
Mid Term - Bearish

Would you elaborate more on this point?

marketmakerZ
2008-Mar-16, 03:39 AM
Would you elaborate more on this point?

sure:

long term means for me the next years (I don't care about the speculations - the fundamentals are here the "real deal"!!!)

mid term: at least the time as the correction in 2008 is happening and be sure it will be again short, heavy and bloody

short term: don't make the mistake on gold with just looking on the technicals (you got burned!!!)...try to see the "bigger" picture ;)

hope it's now a little clearer and always feel free to ask

enjoy

mmZ

Davie
2008-Apr-03, 11:37 AM
I think gold and silver are the best investment in 2008, farmland in 2009.